Society

Eurovision 2026 Final Tonight in Vienna: Finland Favourite as Bookmakers and Prediction Markets Agree

Polymarket prices Finland at 49%, Kalshi at 53% — while bookmakers set odds at 4/5

By ZenNews Editorial May 16, 2026 1 min read Updated: May 16, 2026

Eurovision 2026 Final Tonight in Vienna: Finland Favourite as Bookmakers and Prediction Markets Agree

The Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Grand Final takes place tonight at the Wiener Stadthalle in Vienna — and bookmakers and prediction markets are strikingly aligned: Finland is expected to win.

Finland Dominates Every Market

Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen represent Finland with their entry “Liekinheitin”. Bet365 price them at 4/5 (implied probability: ~41-45%), a position of dominance rarely seen at this stage of the contest.

Read also

Prediction Markets: Even More Bullish on Finland

On Polymarket — with $173 million in trading volume — Finland is priced at approximately 49%. Kalshi has Finland at 53%.

Country	Bookmakers (bet365)	Polymarket	Kalshi
Finland	4/5 (~41-45%)	~49%	53%
Australia	4/1 (~16-22%)	~25%	–
Bulgaria	–	6.3%	–
Greece	9/1 (~7%)	5.8%	–
Romania	12/1 (~5-6%)	5%	–
Israel	10/1 (~6%)	5%	–

The Jury vs. Televote Split

Polymarket sub-markets tell a fascinating story: Australia (Delta Goodrem, “Eclipse”) leads the jury vote at 53.5%, while Israel (Noam Bettan, “Michelle”) leads the televote at 51%. Finland winning overall reflects the market belief that Finland scores strongly across both streams.

The Favourites at a Glance

Finland: Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen – “Liekinheitin” (4/5)
Australia: Delta Goodrem – “Eclipse” (4/1)
Greece: Akylas – “Ferto” (9/1)
Israel: Noam Bettan – “Michelle” (10/1)
Romania: Alexandra Capitanescu – “Choke Me” (12/1)
Denmark: Soren Torpegaard – “For vi gar hjem” (18/1)

The Eurovision 2026 Grand Final begins tonight at 21:00 CET, live on PBS (US), BBC One (UK), and broadcasters across Europe.

How do you feel about this?

ZenNews Editorial

Editorial

The ZenNews editorial team covers the most important events from the US, UK and around the world around the clock — independent, reliable and fact-based.

Source: ZenNews24